Please remove Maelstrom II Emails from Space Threads

Somehow my Maelstrom II mailing list has been included in Space-related
threads.
My apologies to Maelstrom II crew, consultants, and friends for the
unintended space-related emails.
Please take a moment to remove Maelstrom II email addresses (at end of
my reply) from any future space-related replies.

Sincerely,
Jeroen

================
Maelstrom II mailing list:

Paul Werbos wrote:
> At 12:05 AM 09/25/2007, Feng Hsu wrote:
>> Paul,
>>
>> Decision options don't have to be deterministic at all.
>
>
> Of course they don't.
>
> I mentioned how we have developed the mathematics for a new class of
> stochastic optimization methods which, for
> the first time, overcome the classic curse of dimensionality which has
> limited well-known
> classical methods like decision trees.
>
> However, I also mentioned a basic feature of these methods --
>
> under situations of serious uncertainty (both good uncertainty and
> bad, hopes and fears),
> the optimal strategy which pops out is often NOT a rigid future plan
> or rigid commitment, say, to
> a single energy source for the entire world. Even simple decision
> trees lead us to things
> like wildcat drilling, buying information, and keeping options open to
> the extent that
> this does not lead to paralysis or unaffordable delay. More
> sophisticated
> intelligent systems can account for the fact that there is OTHER
> INTELLIGENCE
> out there as well, such as that of energy producers; if we make
> decisions without
> accounting for that reality, we are acting on a false premise.
>
> One question in that vein: is it possible that there is a creative
> chemist out there who
> knows a noncarbon liquid fuel better for cars than hydrazine hydrate
> (HH)? Perhaps even in
> Exxon Research itself? I wouldn't assert that there is, but it's a
> possibility worth
> allowing for -- along with a lot of other possibilities.
>
> But still I have to admit that I see more hope for better batteries
> right now than for
> anything else to store energy for cars and trucks. As an example,
> someone really needs to follow up on the
> kind of new directions proposed by Sadoway last week... click on
> Sadoway at
> http://www.ieeeusa.org/policy/phev/program.asp..
>
> Best of luck to us all,
>
> Paul
>
>
>
>
>